Northland Capmk Predicts Reduced Earnings for The GEO Group

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) – Analysts at Northland Capmk decreased their Q2 2025 EPS estimates for The GEO Group in a research note issued on Thursday, May 8th. Northland Capmk analyst G. Gibas now anticipates that the real estate investment trust will post earnings per share of $0.16 for the quarter, down from their prior forecast of $0.23. The consensus estimate for The GEO Group’s current full-year earnings is $0.83 per share. Northland Capmk also issued estimates for The GEO Group’s Q3 2025 earnings at $0.24 EPS and Q4 2025 earnings at $0.31 EPS.

The GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) last announced its quarterly earnings results on Wednesday, May 7th. The real estate investment trust reported $0.14 EPS for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $0.18 by ($0.04). The GEO Group had a net margin of 2.00% and a return on equity of 9.20%. The firm had revenue of $604.65 million during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $611.81 million. During the same quarter in the previous year, the business posted $0.14 EPS.

GEO has been the subject of a number of other reports. Noble Financial restated an “outperform” rating on shares of The GEO Group in a report on Monday, March 24th. UBS Group set a $35.00 target price on shares of The GEO Group in a report on Monday, March 24th. StockNews.com upgraded shares of The GEO Group from a “sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a report on Friday. Jones Trading reduced their target price on shares of The GEO Group from $55.00 to $50.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a report on Thursday, May 8th. Finally, Wedbush restated an “outperform” rating and set a $36.00 target price (down from $46.00) on shares of The GEO Group in a report on Thursday, May 8th. One equities research analyst has rated the stock with a hold rating and four have assigned a buy rating to the stock. Based on data from MarketBeat, The GEO Group currently has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus price target of $38.00.

The GEO Group Price Performance

Shares of NYSE:GEO opened at $26.18 on Monday. The GEO Group has a 52 week low of $11.75 and a 52 week high of $36.46. The company has a current ratio of 1.10, a quick ratio of 1.10 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.25. The firm has a market capitalization of $3.69 billion, a P/E ratio of 90.29, a PEG ratio of 2.11 and a beta of 0.80. The firm’s 50 day moving average is $28.32 and its two-hundred day moving average is $27.77.

Insider Buying and Selling

In related news, EVP Shayn P. March sold 7,500 shares of The GEO Group stock in a transaction on Thursday, March 27th. The shares were sold at an average price of $30.00, for a total value of $225,000.00. Following the completion of the sale, the executive vice president now owns 67,469 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $2,024,070. The trade was a 10.00% decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a document filed with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is accessible through this link. 5.30% of the stock is owned by corporate insiders.

Institutional Investors Weigh In On The GEO Group

Several institutional investors and hedge funds have recently modified their holdings of GEO. NewEdge Advisors LLC acquired a new stake in shares of The GEO Group in the 4th quarter valued at $29,000. SRS Capital Advisors Inc. raised its holdings in The GEO Group by 160.0% in the 4th quarter. SRS Capital Advisors Inc. now owns 1,170 shares of the real estate investment trust’s stock worth $33,000 after acquiring an additional 720 shares during the period. Smartleaf Asset Management LLC raised its holdings in The GEO Group by 149.5% in the 4th quarter. Smartleaf Asset Management LLC now owns 1,527 shares of the real estate investment trust’s stock worth $42,000 after acquiring an additional 915 shares during the period. NBC Securities Inc. bought a new position in The GEO Group in the 1st quarter worth $58,000. Finally, Covestor Ltd raised its holdings in The GEO Group by 19.8% in the 1st quarter. Covestor Ltd now owns 2,653 shares of the real estate investment trust’s stock worth $77,000 after acquiring an additional 438 shares during the period. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 76.10% of the company’s stock.

The GEO Group Company Profile

The GEO Group, Inc (NYSE: GEO) engages in ownership, leasing, and management of secure facilities, processing centers, and community-based reentry facilities in the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom, and South Africa. The company also provides secure facility management services, including the provision of security, administrative, rehabilitation, education, and food services; reentry services, such as temporary housing, programming, employment assistance, and other services; electronic monitoring and supervision services; and transportation services; as well as designs, constructs, and finances new facilities through projects.